Politics: why the current situation in Iran might be different
Self-tutoring about international politics: the tutor mentions Iran.
The following is according to my understanding.
Iran, it seems, has widespread protests once again about its regime. In itself, the situation isn’t new; it happened in 2022, and numerous other times since 1979.
A government like Iran’s likely wouldn’t survive a population of western voters, but Iran’s not a western country. Therefore, westerners have sometimes been reminded to keep their peace about what happens there. Perhaps surprisingly, Iran’s theocracy has survived since 1979.
Typically, Iran’s protests have been about citizens’ rights – women’s rights, for example (2022-2023) or general voters’ rights (2009-2010). It’s my understanding that the Iranian regime doesn’t care too much for either. Moreover, since it controls the army, it’s been more or less safe from protest up until now.
Yet, there’s one thing that even Iran’s government seems vulnerable to: inflation. Apparently, inflation is reported by the Iranian government itself as being around forty percent. Iranians can perceive that, given the trend, there isn’t a viable future. When people can’t see a future, they’re not afraid to protest; rather, it becomes their only option.
Strongmen who don’t buy their own groceries don’t seem to understand inflation. Nonetheless, it seems just as likely the eventual ruin of any political entity that has its own currency.
Source:
Jack of Oracle Tutoring by Jack and Diane, Campbell River, BC.
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